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Post by tsk on Sept 11, 2017 15:38:28 GMT
something something we in here. Figured since several of us had already been discussing NFL betting, we might as well keep it in one thread. I can keep track of season winnings / losses in the OP. OutRosez Scottie4Hottie RondoTSK - $100 Rosez - $80? Rondo - Browntown - |
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Post by tsk on Sept 11, 2017 15:38:59 GMT
Started off nicely week one. bet $10 to win $110 on a four team parlay of Raiders / Lions / Ravens / Raiders
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Post by Scottie4Hottie on Sept 11, 2017 16:00:00 GMT
With pre season bets in hand and parlays I've bet about 19,750 my current winnings are at 6,045.
I'm in the hole for 13,705 lol.
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Post by tsk on Sept 11, 2017 16:01:55 GMT
With pre season bets in hand and parlays I've bet about 19,750 my current winnings are at 6,045. I'm in the hole for 13,705 lol. how much did you bet in week one? is the 6k profit or total winning? |
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Post by Scottie4Hottie on Sept 11, 2017 16:03:11 GMT
Hmm I don't think I can keep track on a week to week bases hang on.
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Post by Scottie4Hottie on Sept 11, 2017 16:05:55 GMT
Just Week 1: Single bets: 2.2k Won: 1,876 Parlays: 2,050 Won: 2,933 FanDuel - 22 Total Spent - 4.25k Total Won- 4,833 Edit it after tonight. I'm up 483 dollars. tsk I'll keep it to a week to week bases and then post the results of my pre season bets at the end of the regular season. Cool? |
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Post by Scottie4Hottie on Sept 11, 2017 16:30:09 GMT
Does DFS count as well lol?
Why don't we create an account together or whom ever wants to join, pot the money and every week we post 2 for sure games we love. Place the money (Like 50 games on each team for sure we think) and see if we make any profits and split it up at the end of the season.
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Post by tsk on Sept 11, 2017 16:31:57 GMT
Does DFS count as well lol? Why don't we create an account together or whom ever wants to join, pot the money and every week we post 2 for sure games we love. Place the money (Like 50 games on each team for sure we think) and see if we make any profits and split it up at the end of the season. yeah i suppose DFS could count, although I'm not gonna do it this year. being in four ff leagues is stressful enough lol id potentially be interested in something like that |
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Post by Scottie4Hottie on Sept 11, 2017 16:33:41 GMT
Does DFS count as well lol? Why don't we create an account together or whom ever wants to join, pot the money and every week we post 2 for sure games we love. Place the money (Like 50 games on each team for sure we think) and see if we make any profits and split it up at the end of the season. yeah i suppose DFS could count, although I'm not gonna do it this year. being in four ff leagues is stressful enough lol id potentially be interested in something like that I can create us an account on bet365, since online betting is legal in the Canada, I would place the bets and update everyone through picks and vids on the picks we place. |
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 11, 2017 17:49:37 GMT
Ooooo I like this idea. Here's what i've done in order (of bets placed) so far:
Michigan vs Florida, Michigan ML. W.
Alabama vs Florida State, Bama ML, W.
UCLA vs Texas A&M, UCLA ML, W.
Fiba World Cup USA vs Argentina, USA, W.
Clemson/Auburn, Clemson +5, W.
September 7th:
Indians vs White Sox, Indians ML, W.
Cubs vs Pirates, Cubs ML, W.
TSK's parlay:
Ravens +3
Raiders +2.5
Panthers -5
All wins
Oklahoma vs Ohio State, O-H-L-O-L ML, L.
2team parlay
Pitt ML, Texans -5.5, L.
Rockies vs Dodgers, Rockies ML, W.
Went chasing lost money and lost live bets on the Jags/Texans over 46.5
Colts/Rams under 39.5, L.
Panthers/49ers under 43.5, W.
Got SeaHawks live +3.5, L thanks to refs.
Seahawks/Packers under 39.5, W.
Colts/Rams under 49.5 L
Colts/Rams, Rams +13.5 W
Giants/Cowboys, Cowboys ML W.
NCAAF: 4-1-0
MLB: 3-0
NFL-4-3-1 (of my own picks)
Not sure on total winnings, I'm up a couple hundred though at least.
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Post by tsk on Sept 11, 2017 18:01:28 GMT
OutRosez i'll look at the lines tomorrow and get my parlay in. prolly gonna keep it between 3-5 games most weeks.
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 11, 2017 18:03:25 GMT
OutRosez i'll look at the lines tomorrow and get my parlay in. prolly gonna keep it between 3-5 games most weeks. I like this. |
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 11, 2017 18:05:04 GMT
Also I'ma post my daily bets if/when I make any.
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 12, 2017 7:46:18 GMT
My advice pound this Clemson -2.5 holy shit. Lamar would win the Heisman if they win this game for sure, that's the type of effort necessary for this win one.
Kentucky against SC this weekend is a good bet. They've owned SC the last few years.
UCLA -3 is a great one. Maybe a point higher than it could be later in the week but right now that's a great number.
Reddit really really likes the ND line at -13 or so, not sure I agree just sharing it.
I got Indians -1 against Tigers. Kluber against some random Tigers pitcher. 10 to win 3, but easy money since as long as the Indians win I'm out nothing, and they should easily win.
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 12, 2017 8:05:47 GMT
Games I'm less confident in, but are pretty solid just lines. Not looking at teams strengths weaknesses, past match ups, etc.
Kansas +7.5 against Ohio. Kansas sucks and has sucked since I was in high school pretty much. But Ohio is hella bad. Lost to a bad Purdue team by 20+, and blew up whatever a Hampton is. Oh the team with the biggest upset in gambling history in NCAAF history? I'd go Ohio if I wanted an interesting pick.
Michigan -24.5 against Air Force. Michigan's defense is young, especially in the secondary but tons of talent back there and the defense has looked like one of the best in the nation against two bad offenses though. I don't think Air Force will score that much on Michigan, and Michigan should have a good offense Saturday.
Ohio State -31.5 against Army. Military school vs one of the best programs in the country coming off an embarrassing loss. Should be good money.
USC by all accounts should beat Texas by 17, but I'm still slightly slightly very slightly doubtful on USC.
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 14, 2017 4:53:03 GMT
Wonder where the tsk NFL picks are??!!?!? as for my NCAAF picks for the weekend  imgur.com/uAkXBlPand  gods help me if Clemson loses, but I still can't understand that line so I'm just going with it being weird. |
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Post by Scottie4Hottie on Sept 14, 2017 16:20:41 GMT
Ok tsk and OutRosez, If we're going to do this. Then we need to figure some stuff out. . How much do we want to add into this account? . We are gonna split the winnings 3 ways. . What's the cap on the money earned, before we take it out. . How much money will be spent on single bets and parlays. . We will only bet on games we are certain on. Anything else I'm forgetting? |
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Post by tsk on Sept 14, 2017 19:43:15 GMT
Ok tsk and OutRosez , If we're going to do this. Then we need to figure some stuff out. . How much do we want to add into this account? . We are gonna split the winnings 3 ways. . What's the cap on the money earned, before we take it out. . How much money will be spent on single bets and parlays. . We will only bet on games we are certain on. Anything else I'm forgetting? lets start this up week 3 so we can agree on how we want to do it. i'll think about how i'd like to do it |
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Post by Scottie4Hottie on Sept 14, 2017 19:45:06 GMT
Ok tsk and OutRosez , If we're going to do this. Then we need to figure some stuff out. . How much do we want to add into this account? . We are gonna split the winnings 3 ways. . What's the cap on the money earned, before we take it out. . How much money will be spent on single bets and parlays. . We will only bet on games we are certain on. Anything else I'm forgetting? lets start this up week 3 so we can agree on how we want to do it. i'll think about how i'd like to do it Start min it at week 3 is a good idea. I'll make a pm group. |
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Post by tsk on Sept 16, 2017 16:19:44 GMT
OutRosez upping it to a 5 team parlay Titans even Pats -6 Dolphins +3.5 Bears +7 Lions +3 betting 10 (again) to win $232
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 16, 2017 16:22:00 GMT
OutRosez upping it to a 5 team parlay Titans even Pats -6 Dolphins +3.5 Bears +7 Lions +3 betting 10 (again) to win $232 not sure how I feel about the titans one. AND YOU WANT ME TO BET AGAINST JAMEIS?!?!?!? K. In tsk I trust |
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Post by tsk on Sept 16, 2017 16:29:48 GMT
OutRosez upping it to a 5 team parlay Titans even Pats -6 Dolphins +3.5 Bears +7 Lions +3 betting 10 (again) to win $232 not sure how I feel about the titans one. AND YOU WANT ME TO BET AGAINST JAY?!?!?!? K. In tsk I trust the bears D is for real also put in 30 on clemson -3 in rosez i trust |
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Post by tsk on Sept 17, 2017 2:56:21 GMT
Thanks rose
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 17, 2017 3:05:49 GMT
3 out of 4 of my recommend picks hit. Not bad. It's a shame I rode the UCLA one hard lmao. |
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 18, 2017 1:25:14 GMT
EARLY lines I like for next week's games
Purdue +8.5 is good for now, but I think Michigan fans are gonna hammer that and you can get 10 Tuesday or later.
Oregon -16.5 is good, but I'd probably lower it to 14 just for safety's sake, but you never know.
Stanford -7 is good I think. UCLA has no defense, and Stanford might be a bit underrated. I'll have to pour more into their stats though.
So far no clear give me games like last week's Clemson.
I like MIchigan State +3.5 against Notre Dame a lot though. Both teams aren't good, but Notre Dame might be slightly less sucky. Not sure if that's a field goal+ difference though. Kelly is coaching for his job though, so keep that in mind.
UNLV +40 is solid though. I don't think Ohio State is nearly as good offensively as their stats say or should be. They just had a nice quarter last weekend. UNLV is the team that lost to Howard, but I don't think they're 40 points worse than Ohio State even in Columbus. 40 IS A LOT they've scored 49 and 38 in their wins, and 16 in the loss against Oklahoma. I think UNLV can score at least 14 against them, not sure Ohio State is gonna drop 50+.
Lines I think are good bets just for the odds, not necessarily indicative of anything else:
Kentucky is +3.5 against Florida right now. Florida can't score and Kentucky can. I like it.
South Carolina being favored by 11!!!!! against Louisiana Tech is crazy. SoCar still hasn't really done anything spectacular on offense. They're mostly getting lucky off their defense and special teams. That offense is shit. LTU is bad but I don't think South Carolina can cover 11, I wouldn't bet it but South Carolina is one of the teams I'm watching just for future weeks at this point.
Not sure there's a game I'm going to bet for sure yet though. There's no real marquee matchups, and I don't think most of the good teams vs cupcakes are necessarily great ones to bet on except maybe UNLV.
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Post by tsk on Sept 18, 2017 2:51:03 GMT
Really blew it with the bears smh, hit on all 3 of the others. Added the bears to be fucking cheeky too
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 18, 2017 5:35:01 GMT
Really blew it with the bears smh, hit on all 3 of the others. Added the bears to be fucking cheeky too It happens, the rest were great picks though. I road them into other parlays, fucking packers fucked my ass so hard tonight by not showing up until the game was over AND THEY DIDN'T EVEN DO A BACKDOOR COVER THOSE SORRY FUCKING FUCKTARDS!!! |
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 18, 2017 5:44:12 GMT
I've lost either .008btc or basically nothing this weekend depending on if the Lions cover tomorrow night. Very rough weekend. Learned a lot though:
1. Don't bet on teams I hate (Fucking Ohio State and Packers).
2. Limit parlays to 3 teams if I'm sure, 4 if I'm being dumb.
3. Bet against the Jets and Browns MLs most week (great parlay potential though)
4. The jets may go 0-16, especially if they can't get even 1 of their next 5.
5. If you're sure about a line fucking bet that shit not the UCLA line.
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Post by Scottie4Hottie on Sept 20, 2017 3:25:40 GMT
Packers cost me potential money man Picks I made and I was ecstatic about. Broncos + 2 Lions + 3 Raiders -13 Ravens vs browns under 39.5 Bills + 7 Pats score more than 27 points Bell rushes more than 72 yds Brady and Brees pass over 310 yds Terrible picks. Bears +7 Packers + 3 Rams -2.5 Viking +6 before Bradford was out OutRosez I try to stay away from parlays unless I'm gambling with Ontario lottery. They never change their lines. Single bets are the best way to go. |
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 20, 2017 4:09:43 GMT
Packers cost me potential money man Picks I made and I was ecstatic about. Broncos + 2 Lions + 3 Raiders -13 Ravens vs browns under 39.5 Bills + 7 Pats score more than 27 points Bell rushes more than 72 yds Brady and Brees pass over 310 yds Terrible picks. Bears +7 Packers + 3 Rams -2.5 Viking +6 before Bradford was out OutRosez I try to stay away from parlays unless I'm gambling with Ontario lottery. They never change their lines. Single bets are the best way to go. I don't mind parlays, it's just losing on one out of 4-5 games is just upsetting. Since I bet small amounts I barely make anything on single bets (which is most of my bets regardless). I just like to throw a few games I'm confident in together. I'll defend that Packers +3 pick though I made the same thing and I don't think it was bad. We didn't find out the tackles were injured until 4-5 hours before the game, couldn't count on them injuring 2-3 more guys in the game and they still had backdoor cover potential too. It was a fine pick, like if we lose like that, that's 100% fine. There were factors beyond our control. But other shit is bad. |
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