tsk Rondo Scottie4Hottie

lines for this weekends games
Falcons -2.5 @eagles
Patriots -13.5 vs Titans
Steelers -7.5 vs Jags
Vikings -4 vs Saints

I like Falcons -2.5
Tease pats/Steelers to 7.5 and 1.5? I like that a lot. Might wait and see if Pats moves down a half point for some weird reason and grab it then because the hook is meh. Even though I think they'll comfortably win by two TDs anyway, better to not have to worry.

i like falcons -2.5 a lot. I like Saints +4 a lot too.


Not touching either of those AFC spreads lol

I like falcons -2.5, saints +4, and pats +13.5.

Jags beat the Steelers pretty bad last time they played...that defense might give Ben some issues, depending on if AB plays or not...haven’t really read up on his status.

Let’s see which Bortles shows up...

putting some dough on the georgia moneyline btw

spread was +4 georgia (which hit), i think moneyline was +180 :/ 

tsk Rondo Scottie4Hottie prop bets are out. Here's my most interesting ones:
4.5 sacks, over -139. I just feel like with the way the Eagles play and the kinda shaky Pats OL play against the Jags it could happen. Belichick with 2 weeks to prepare though, granted we've seen previously with the Giants and sort of SeaHawks it doesn't matter. Obviously this isn't the same caliber of defense but the raw potential is there I think. Just need 3 from the Eagles 2 from the Patriots which is pretty doable imo.

Patriots winning margin 1-6 is +300. Pats never blow anyone out in their Superbowls, I feel like this is basically free money? Am I crazy?
Either team scoring 4 straight times: No is -300
Brady over 1.5 TDs thrown. over is -240

g.espncdn.com/s/ffldraftkit/SBLII%20props.pdf here's the full list if you want to go full degenerate

I haven't decided on what I think the final score is, but I think it's less than a td safely for the Patriots. Eagles +5.5 is good, just not sure you get fucked and they wind up winning on two field goals in the last six minutes lol.

I still don’t trust trubiskey. That team lives and dies with him. Jordan Howard isn’t a game changing back that can take over games, and the defense is good, not great.

They play in a tough division as well. I would have to look at their whole schedule but right now I would under. I see them as a 5-6 win team.

I like the Titans, but Steelers are a bit sketchy. No Bell, in Cleveland, and last year when the Steelers played the Browns at Cleveland it was only a 4 point game...I would say this Browns team is much improved from last year, while the Steelers are about the same.

I don't think anyone should trust him, but I'm comfortable with thinking they can go from a top 10 defense to top 5 now. I'm not sure how much that means in a league where scoring 30 is more valuable than only allowing 17 a game, but I think it's worth something. They've got a good schedule imo
@packers
Seahawks
@cardinals
Buccaneers
@miami
Patriots
Jets
@buffalo
Lions 
Vikings
@lions (4 days rest)
@giants
Rams
Packers
@49ers
@vikings

Just checking off games I think they're favored in: Seahawks, @cardinals, Buccaneers, Miami, @buffalo that's 5. Then they can reasonably I'd say expect a split against Detroit and at least a game between the Giants (who might be very bad), the Jets, and 49ers. That's 8-9 right there. Assuming they drop all 4 to the Vikings and Packers they'd have 4 other less likely chances against the Pats, Rams, and Lions on short rest. 

i side w/ rondo. im not touching that line

Locks:
Georgia ML, and -10.5 should hit.
Clemson -10
Mizzou ML (vs wyoming)


I also really like USC +6 against Stanford. I don't know why, but I feel like USC is overrated but I like them a lot in this game even though they have a history of dropping this one to Stanford and they're pseudo-retooling this year.

I had a parlay with USC +6.5 lost the chance to win 4.5k shame!

I kept them out of mine (lost on clemson though lol), but damn that sucks. I never trust USC in big games particularly against Stanford but the difference between the two was mostly just Stanford's QB sucked less.