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Post by tsk on Sept 22, 2017 2:43:33 GMT
Rondo I am 9/10 on picks don't test me!!
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Post by Rondo on Sept 22, 2017 2:48:20 GMT
Just bein realistic. They have a better defense than the cowboys, and tyrod is very underrated, extends plays with his feet. The bills haven't played a d like Denver True, I just think a mobile qb will give us problems.
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Post by tsk on Sept 22, 2017 2:48:58 GMT
The bills haven't played a d like Denver True, I just think a mobile qb will give us problems. He won't
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Post by Scottie4Hottie on Sept 22, 2017 3:05:38 GMT
My bad I thought the score was at -8 if it's -7 I'll go Steelers
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 22, 2017 3:20:08 GMT
tsk ty 4 the pick and dollars
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 22, 2017 3:23:38 GMT
I tailed steelers -6.5 (I bought a point) with Cowboys -3. Denver should win pretty comfortably, but I'm worried about them losing in a low scoring game.
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Post by tsk on Sept 22, 2017 3:25:39 GMT
My bad I thought the score was at -8 if it's -7 I'll go Steelers Smh
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Post by Scottie4Hottie on Sept 22, 2017 3:51:07 GMT
Lost the bet damn!
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 24, 2017 5:27:08 GMT
So I've done some deep digging on some good lines for the weekend and finally found one I'm pretty confident in: Okey dokey state/TCU over 67.5. It's not Clemson last week good, it's not Patriots not starting 0-2 good, but it's probably "Whoever is playing against the Jets" good. I put the equivalent of $20 in btc on it. The best offense in the country against another good but not really good or that good offense, who kind of plays defense but not really and neither has a secondary. They should easily combine for 80+ let alone 68. Okey Dokey State has scored 59, 44, and 59. TCU has scored 63,28, and 56. GG ez money. A couple lines I'm probably gonna take but I'm hoping shift a bit: WVU/Kansas right now WVU is a -21, which is pretty solid, but I'm hoping it goes back down another point or two just in case they're bad this week. Purdue +10, which somehow hasn't shifted. That's it, that's all my bets this week unless I take like the Alabama, Oklahoma, and some other team ML parlay for a chunk of change. Really uninteresting games this week. Everything but Purdue here was a hit. Even sussed out that Oklahoma game being closer than it should have been on paper. WVU and the TCU were garbage time covers but still, a cover is a cover. Next weekend features way more interesting conference matchups and Vegas really seems to like giving the overrated SEC teams trash ATS lines though. I'm feeling like betting on Georgia against UT for sure. Tennessee is just awful awful awful on offense. Probably MS ST against Auburn too. LSU didn't cover (and I don't think has covered period) against a pretty bad Syracuse today. Tennessee and Auburn had 40 point spreads this weekend and failed to cover pretty badly. Auburn did better this week but they were a 40.5 last week against fucking Mercer and barely won by two TDs. Have to wait for the lines to pop up tomorrow and Monday but I'm feeling a three team parlay of Georgia at anything under 10, MS State probably anything they throw at us, and maybe Troy against LSU within like 15 or so. If the LSU/Troy line is bad South Carolina/Aggies might replace that depending on what that is.
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 24, 2017 15:41:41 GMT
mfw when I told you not to take the Ravens because their guard got hurt last week and the Jags line is fucking legit, and then they go out and score 30 in 3 quarters on their backup home turf
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Post by Scottie4Hottie on Sept 24, 2017 16:23:12 GMT
My picks for tonight:
Oak -3.5 TB -2.5 KC -3.5 Lions +3.5
Cle vs Ind over Ten vs Sea under
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 24, 2017 18:22:18 GMT
Going solely off the first halves, we fucked up this weekend. Better luck next weekend.
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 25, 2017 0:30:00 GMT
I'ma do what I did last week (and probably for the rest of the season) and just post early lines I think are good, some that might be more worthwhile in the week, and some trappy ones. Going in order of appearance on my book Early near locks Ohio State is favored by 29 against Rutgers. I've talked ad nauseam about the Buckeyes defense so I'm not gonna belabor the point. But Rutgers is a bad-ish but improving Big 10 team. They lost to a very good Washington team week 1 30-14. Lost to eastern Michigan 16-14, Whooped Morgan State 65-0, and lost to a potentially bad team in Nebraska with a point to prove they're not awful last week 17-27. Ohio State has shown the last two weeks they can score, but I'm not sure they can win by 4 TDs, they'd probably have to shut Rutgers out. They've only really stopped Army all year. I might buy a couple points and get it to 30.5
Northwestern is bad and Wisconsin is good. Wisconsin is a 14.5 favorite. Take em.
South Carolina is somehow a 9.5 favorite against the Aggies. FADE THEM IMMEDIATELY. STOP READING THIS POST AND COME BACK WHEN YOU'RE DONE. This is almost certainly my lock of the week. South Carolina still can't play offense, and Sumlin is coaching for his life. This is a home game for the Aggies, and they're nowhere near as bad as this.They may not be good, but they're gonna score on South Carolina.
Georgia is only a 7 point favorite against a UT team that doesn't score. 42 against a no defense GT team, 42 on Indiana State, 20 on Florida and 17 on UMASS, Georgia has played better team and given up 20 tops to Notre Dame. While scoring 19, 31, 31, and 42. Take Georgia and run. And this nugget: vs. Top 15 (road/home): 1-12 (0-8, 1-4). It's at home but still.
Worthwhile later? USC is a -4 against Washington State, I admittedly can't put my finger on USC but Washington State scores a lot against so-so opponents. USC has looked a little overmatched against so-so opponents in Texas and Cal. They pulled away in both of those for a win, but I'm not quite sure they're the fourth best team in the country. If those goes above 6 I'll grab it.
FSU is favored by 7.5 against Wake Forest. Probably worth taking. FSU had two weeks to prepare for NC State because of the hurricane. They still lost despite being (undeserved) 14 point favorites. They can't score. 7 against Bama, cancelled game, and 21 against NC state who's not bad, but they definitely aren't that good. Wait and see if this creeps to 9. Good chance it goes the other way but at a TD or better it's basically a lock. I just want a better cushion, and it's at Wake Forest.
Troy lost to a good Boise State team 24-13 week 1, since then they've scored 34,24, and 22 points against no name schools. So why am I mentioning them? LSU can score against bad schools but 19.5? Probable fade potential here. It's lower than I'd like but depending on how things shake out this is a solid pick later this week.
Last but not least. In a game I'm calling the ShitFest BYU is -3 favorite (somehow) against Utah State. Utah State got crushed by Wisconsin and a probable bowl team in Wake Forest.Laid a shellacking on whatever an Idaho State is, and a not as bad as they look San Jose State. BYU lost to a not good LSU team 27-0, a solid Utah team 19-13, and also got fucked by Wisconsin. I'm fading them in the Shitfest. Utah State at least scores, BYU looked helpless against two of their admittedly way better opponents and fought hard against Utah. Not saying they're not a better team, but after what I saw against Wisconsin they're fucking awful and I'm fading weekly till they beat me up.
and that's all I got right now.
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 28, 2017 5:40:53 GMT
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Post by tsk on Sept 28, 2017 10:27:51 GMT
yeah prolly, fuck em both
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Post by tsk on Sept 28, 2017 17:53:13 GMT
if i HAD to bet, green bay at -7 looks tempting
bears have only beat the pack twice in the last 7 years
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 28, 2017 19:09:49 GMT
if i HAD to bet, green bay at -7 looks tempting bears have only beat the pack twice in the last 7 years I'm staying away. Thursday game, both are hella injured, Pack had to come back against the fucking Bengals, Pitt always plays down to competition on the road so the Bears are a little bit of a mirage, yucky.
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Post by Scottie4Hottie on Sept 29, 2017 0:38:43 GMT
if i HAD to bet, green bay at -7 looks tempting bears have only beat the pack twice in the last 7 years I'm staying away. Thursday game, both are hella injured, Pack had to come back against the fucking Bengals, Pitt always plays down to competition on the road so the Bears are a little bit of a mirage, yucky. I actually put money on GB. For the fuck of it!
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 29, 2017 17:20:25 GMT
Looked at the lines and finalized some picks today: After last week's NFL slaughter I'm just going pretty safe this week no huge risks, no bold picks. Just safe picks to recoup some of the lost money.
I'm taking Vandy +9 against Florida. Florida is just barely winning these games with super miracles. Vanderbilt isn't bad, might not be good but they're probably an above average team. It's in the swamp though, and they're starting a different QB so this COULD be risky, but I like it a lot. Webb should have a field day against them.
Georgia ML, Georgia has a better team. Better line, defense, QB, everything. It's a rivalry game though and despite me being high on Georgia just blowing them out....I liked Butch Jones critique of the media. If he's gonna rally the troops it's gotta be this week. If he doesn't he's off the hot seat and on the open market probably.
Not betting on it, but I really like VT against Clemson. I think VT has an outside chance of winning the game outright too.
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Post by tsk on Sept 30, 2017 15:22:28 GMT
after a bad week im back in the saddle
Lions +2.5 Jags -3 Dolphins +3
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Post by tsk on Sept 30, 2017 15:24:52 GMT
through a parlay on georgia moneyline and vandy +9 ty karen
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Post by OutRosez on Sept 30, 2017 17:08:48 GMT
after a bad week im back in the saddle Lions +2.5 Jags -3 Dolphins +3 tailed jags. Might do Lions as well, don't wanna get Case Keenum'd back to back weeks though.
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Post by tsk on Oct 1, 2017 15:24:25 GMT
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Post by OutRosez on Oct 1, 2017 16:25:59 GMT
I feel like the Bills are gonna backdoor cover that and fuck you. That Lions bet though
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Post by OutRosez on Oct 1, 2017 16:36:47 GMT
I actually teased falcons and patriots @ me bros.
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Post by OutRosez on Oct 1, 2017 16:55:55 GMT
I bought some bought some points, tailed what I could off that. Falcons -6.5, Lions +3, Jags-4, and Bucs -2. If the Jags don't fuck me I like this a lot. Good 4 to win 43 bet.
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Post by Rondo on Oct 1, 2017 16:59:57 GMT
Piece of shit dolphins. Wtf is going on with them??
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Post by OutRosez on Oct 1, 2017 17:03:00 GMT
Piece of shit dolphins. Wtf is going on with them?? As much as it pains me to say it Jay Cutler just doesn't have enough talent around him to win.
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Post by Rondo on Oct 1, 2017 17:13:32 GMT
Piece of shit dolphins. Wtf is going on with them?? As much as it pains me to say it Jay Cutler just doesn't have enough talent around him to win. Ajayi is a good back, and he has receivers around him. I haven't watched any games but I would think they could at least score some points.
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Post by OutRosez on Oct 2, 2017 2:48:03 GMT
I'ma do what I did last week (and probably for the rest of the season) and just post early lines I think are good, some that might be more worthwhile in the week, and some trappy ones. Going in order of appearance on my book Early near locksOhio State is favored by 29 against Rutgers. I've talked ad nauseam about the Buckeyes defense so I'm not gonna belabor the point. But Rutgers is a bad-ish but improving Big 10 team. They lost to a very good Washington team week 1 30-14. Lost to eastern Michigan 16-14, Whooped Morgan State 65-0, and lost to a potentially bad team in Nebraska with a point to prove they're not awful last week 17-27. Ohio State has shown the last two weeks they can score, but I'm not sure they can win by 4 TDs, they'd probably have to shut Rutgers out. They've only really stopped Army all year. I might buy a couple points and get it to 30.5 Northwestern is bad and Wisconsin is good. Wisconsin is a 14.5 favorite. Take em. South Carolina is somehow a 9.5 favorite against the Aggies. FADE THEM IMMEDIATELY. STOP READING THIS POST AND COME BACK WHEN YOU'RE DONE. This is almost certainly my lock of the week. South Carolina still can't play offense, and Sumlin is coaching for his life. This is a home game for the Aggies, and they're nowhere near as bad as this.They may not be good, but they're gonna score on South Carolina. Georgia is only a 7 point favorite against a UT team that doesn't score. 42 against a no defense GT team, 42 on Indiana State, 20 on Florida and 17 on UMASS, Georgia has played better team and given up 20 tops to Notre Dame. While scoring 19, 31, 31, and 42. Take Georgia and run. And this nugget: vs. Top 15 (road/home): 1-12 (0-8, 1-4). It's at home but still. Worthwhile later?USC is a -4 against Washington State, I admittedly can't put my finger on USC but Washington State scores a lot against so-so opponents. USC has looked a little overmatched against so-so opponents in Texas and Cal. They pulled away in both of those for a win, but I'm not quite sure they're the fourth best team in the country. If those goes above 6 I'll grab it. FSU is favored by 7.5 against Wake Forest. Probably worth taking. FSU had two weeks to prepare for NC State because of the hurricane. They still lost despite being (undeserved) 14 point favorites. They can't score. 7 against Bama, cancelled game, and 21 against NC state who's not bad, but they definitely aren't that good. Wait and see if this creeps to 9. Good chance it goes the other way but at a TD or better it's basically a lock. I just want a better cushion, and it's at Wake Forest. Troy lost to a good Boise State team 24-13 week 1, since then they've scored 34,24, and 22 points against no name schools. So why am I mentioning them? LSU can score against bad schools but 19.5? Probable fade potential here. It's lower than I'd like but depending on how things shake out this is a solid pick later this week. Last but not least. In a game I'm calling the ShitFest BYU is -3 favorite (somehow) against Utah State. Utah State got crushed by Wisconsin and a probable bowl team in Wake Forest.Laid a shellacking on whatever an Idaho State is, and a not as bad as they look San Jose State. BYU lost to a not good LSU team 27-0, a solid Utah team 19-13, and also got fucked by Wisconsin. I'm fading them in the Shitfest. Utah State at least scores, BYU looked helpless against two of their admittedly way better opponents and fought hard against Utah. Not saying they're not a better team, but after what I saw against Wisconsin they're fucking awful and I'm fading weekly till they beat me up. and that's all I got right now. Some good picks here. OSU missed obviously by a lot, so they're off my fade the giant spread thing now. Wisconsin was an oopsy, they could have lost that game easily so they were lucky to go up big towards the end like they did, but a Northwestern late push covered their spread. South Carolina was good, and was still good at my later post for at least a push depending on when you got it, and win otherwise. USC was a good fade as well even at the initial line. Called Troy being closer but definitely didn't think they'd upset. And we learned that we need to fade BYU every week. They got crushed by 20. My big miss for the week was Vandy not covering the spread. Oops. 3-2 here. Not my best work but we gonna get more W's this week. Should be lots of good spreads.
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