You took a different spin and I agree with it. Although what's a major franchise talent in this case? If it's relating to the stat then you're exclusively talking about MVP-level players. That's a really select group of talent.

Like during the Melo-Den stuff, if Melo played it more coy like almost every other player in his position had done and said he was either focusing on the season, or 50/50, or something like that then would Denver had made a mistake if everything played out as it did? Was Melo considered that sort of talent during that time because he was damn close imo. Not everyone is Durant or LBJ where you just know basically from their rookie seasons. Sometimes it's a Nash, Rose, or even players like Dirk and Stephen situations where if the stars align your top player is the MVP of the league.

Anyway, just looking at the stat for what it is, having one of the undisputed best players in the league = championship. Surprise. The NBA more than any other team sport I can think of (or know about) is run by the stars. In almost every facet of the sport.